COVERED RESEARCH

Insurance at the Breaking Point

What our carrier and policy data shows about coverage gaps, shrinking carrier access, and the risk now sitting inside mortgage portfolios.

Published September 2026

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Why we ran this

A note from Covered's CTO

Insurance savings trigger content added to email, SMS, and print communication channels itscovered.

We didn't set out to write a market report. We set out to answer a question our lender partners kept asking us in different ways: how much of the insurance risk on our books can we actually see?

The honest answer, most of the time, is not much. A policy gets verified at closing and then goes quiet for years while replacement costs climb and carriers quietly pull out of entire zip codes. By the time anyone notices, the homeowner is underinsured, non-renewed, or both.

What we have that most people don't is the quote-and-bind data underneath that problem. This brief is our attempt to put numbers on it and say plainly what we think it means for the next few years.

Doug Morgan

Chief Technology Officer, Covered Insurance Solutions

What's inside

Four sections, built on two proprietary datasets

Insurance savings trigger content added to email, SMS, and print communication channels itscovered.

Third-party research is used only to connect what we see in coverage data to what lenders see in loan performance.

Coverage adequacy

How policy limits compare to estimated replacement cost across the homes in our book, and where the gaps concentrate.

Carrier access and marketplace

Where carriers are still writing, where they've stopped, and how many real options a homeowner has by market.

The mortgage connection

Why an underinsured or non-renewed policy shows up later as a servicing and delinquency problem.

What lenders can do now

Practical monitoring and remediation steps for portfolios, not predictions.

About the data

Where the numbers come from

Insurance savings trigger content added to email, SMS, and print communication channels itscovered.

We didn't set out to write a market report. We set out to answer a question our lender partners kept asking us in different ways: how much of the insurance risk on our books can we actually see?

The honest answer, most of the time, is not much. A policy gets verified at closing and then goes quiet for years while replacement costs climb and carriers quietly pull out of entire zip codes. By the time anyone notices, the homeowner is underinsured, non-renewed, or both.

What we have that most people don't is the quote-and-bind data underneath that problem. This brief is our attempt to put numbers on it and say plainly what we think it means for the next few years.

Dataset

What it measures

Window

Coverage Adequacy

Dwelling limits against estimated replacement cost, by property and market.

2026

Carrier Access & Marketplace

Carrier appetite and quote availability by market, including markets with no viable admitted option.

Jan to [MONTH] 2026

Third-party sources

Ge, Johnson & Tzur-Ilan. Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, March 2026. Used for the relationship between insurance cost, coverage changes, and mortgage delinquency.

[Source for the replacement-cost threshold finding]

[Source for state-level underinsurance rates]

Full methodology, definitions, and per-figure citations are in the appendix of the PDF.

See this in your own portfolio

Covered Hub monitors insurance health across a book of loans, so coverage gaps and non-renewals surface while there's still time to act on them.

Talk to our Team